This is my second blogpost on Myanmar, and since my first one, I spoke to a few people (within the phase 2 rules) and decided that I could share more information and give more opinions (what’s new?). But still, one of my running themes is that if enough of us, as individuals, put our money where our minds/mouths are, we can start affecting change.
1 What’s
the big deal about specific army units?
One of the
things that may surprise outsiders is why do local reports from Myanmar usually
mention the army units in the different towns. This actually matters a lot.
From the
beginning, on Feb 2 itself, troops moved into towns. These were troops that
have been involved in regular fighting along the borders. For example the 33rd
light infantry, alleged to have been involved in operations in Rakhine (1);
they are now in Mandalay (2)(3). The 77th known for their behaviour
in 2007 (4) was deployed to Yangon (5) Let me re-iterate, troops that have been
involved in real fighting at the borders, have been moved into town centres.
You can’t say the military did not plan properly; they know exactly what they
are doing, and so do all other governments and international bodies.
2 Why are
Singapore businesses being targeted?
There has
been a campaign in Myanmar to boycott certain Singapore brands (6). Why is that
so? Yangon is probably the city in Asia that I have visited and that has the
most Singapore-grown brands, where it it tiger beer is popular,I have enjoyed
ya-kun kaya toast, harry’s, and even had my first koi boba in a mall walking
distance from where I used to live…
Singapore
is the largest investor in Myanmar (7)(8). But investing in Myanmar is not
straightforward.
2a The
military in Myanmar has commercial arms
It is well
known to people who have spent time in Myanmar that the military is very deeply
engaged in the economy of Myanmar(9); the MEC and MEHL are large corporations
with fingers in many pies and close ties to the military.
And it’s
not only currenlt military figures, as shown by this infographic regarding the
Patron Group of the MEHL (10)
2b Many
investments into Myanmar go through intermediaries
A UN report
as early as 2019 shows that the military have other linked companies (11). I
would like to quote a certain point, page 29: “There are also serious
allegations of crony companies concealing the wealth of the Tatmadaw and its
leadership. These allegations require further investigation. The Mission notes
however that the Managing Director of Asia World Group, Steven Law (also
known as Htun Myint Naing), has been accused by the U.S. Government of
involvement in laundering money for the Tatmadaw.Asia World has three “overseas
branch companies” in Singapore, run by Steven Law and his spouse Cecilia Ng, a
Singaporean national. More than half of Singapore’s investment in
Myanmar reportedly goes through partnerships with Asia World Group,
totalling more than USD 1.3 billion.”
So it is important for companies in Myanmar to come clean
about their investments and whether they are contributing to the military (12).
Kirin, the Japanese beer, has allegedly trying to break its ties (13)
(Interestingly the other partner is MEHL itself, no intermediary). And they
will pull out within a year (14). Anyway, no more Myanmar beer for me.
I believe
the companies that have invested in Myanmar should come clean about their
involvement with the military, and let us, the consumers decide. Else, I can
understand why all firms fall under suspicion.
3 what each one of us can do as individuals
We are
consumers. If we believe that the situation in Myanmar should not continue,
then we should change our consumption patterns accordingly. For example I am
stopping consumption of Myanmar beer. But I am in Singapore and rarely have
access to Myanmar beer, so what else can I do?
Many people
in Myanmar believe that a lot of the funds of the people currently in power is
somehow in Singapore and also that a large chunk of the country’s reserves are
held in Singapore (15). The central bank (MAS) contacted local banks and the
result was that “no significant funds from Myanmar companies and individuals
found in Singapore” (16).
There are 2
interesting bits:
1 no
mention of the 5.7b reserves, these should not be tied to companies and
individuals.
2 the word
‘significant’
It would
really be nice to know the number. Plus sometimes it’s not whether the money
stays into the accounts, but the flow of funds.
A while
ago, I did this piece of work (17) about flows of funds in a bank. You can
relatively easily trace funds and see round trips, or especially cases where
money rests for a while into an account before being moved on, having a new
‘source’ attached to it.
I am more
than willing to do something similar for any local banks for free, just to
trace money from Myanmar, anonymously of course. If anyone reading this blog
can influence the banks, just ping me 😊
I believe
that, in an age when people are talking about sustainability, green passport,
investors should also take into account the flow of blood (18)(19)(20)(21),
don’t you?
And I would extend this to (Singapore-based) companies who have invested in Myanmar, I think their investors would be interested in knowing whether the military is benefiting from these investments, whether the capital gains and/or dividends are coloured red.
Conclusion
In
conclusion:
1 The
situation in Myanmar is very troubling and people are getting killed. This is
not an accident
2 If any
change is to happen, it has to come via putting pressure on the powers that be,
and that goes through the assets held by these powers.
3 As
individuals, those of us who are bothered by the situation, we could simply
ask, especially if we are shareholders, whether the companies who invested in
Myanmar are ‘in bed’ with the military, and whether locally based banks are
holding funds or transaction accounts that are related to the people who have
taken power outside the election.
I will
leave you with some photos I have found on the internet.
1 https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/myanmar-rohingya-battalions/
2 https://twitter.com/matthewfsmith/status/1363113462407249934
5 https://twitter.com/poppymcp/status/1361201684861513728?lang=en
7 https://www.enterprisesg.gov.sg/media-centre/news/2019/june/singapore-is-largest-investor-in-myanmar
8 https://www.dica.gov.mm/sites/dica.gov.mm/files/document-files/fdi_country_9.pdf
9 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/313249258_Myanmar_the_military-commercial_complex
13 https://fortune.com/2021/02/20/myanmar-military-coup-2021-businesses-companies/
15 https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/singapore-says-banks-dont-hold-significant-funds-myanmar.html
17 From
“The Art of Analytics” by Tony Ohlsson and Alex Heidl Teradata https://books.google.com.sg/books/about/The_Art_of_Analytics.html?id=rxlFvgAACAAJ&redir_esc=y
19 https://www.myanmar-now.org/en/news/six-killed-in-myaing-protest-crackdown
22 https://coconuts.co/singapore/news/anti-drone-guns-meant-to-protect-myanmars-people-trd-singapore/
23 https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/protesters-in-myanmar-pressure-singapore-firms-to-leave
26 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/3/13/myanmar-protesters-killed-as-police-fire-live-ammunition
27 https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/09/shoot-me-instead-myanmar-nuns-plea-to-spare-protesters